Often, the first indication of building carb ice is a decrease in manifold pressure. That said, many of the aircraft that are most susceptible to carb ice are not equipped with a MP instrument. And, in fact, hardly any pilot I know actually includes an MP instrument in his/her regular scan anyway.
Lycoming engines have intake runners routed through the oil sump, which conducts quite a bit of heat to the carburetor. As a result, Lycoming engines tend to be a LITTLE less inclined to make carb ice.
Continentals, on the other hand, have no comparable advantage, and in general tend to more readily make ice.
Having flown carbureted engines in Kodiak for eight years, including Lycoming, Continental and Pratt and Whitney engines, I have experienced some episodes of carb ice.
And, those varied, from a mild engine roughness as the first indication of problems to a full out total engine failure as the first indication. I can attest that those definitely get your attention.
The routine I adopted with most of these engines (the Pratts being the exception) was simple: I developed a routine of applying carb heat periodically at a regular interval.....whether I suspected carb ice or not.
The Beaver, equipped with a Pratt and Whitney R 985 engine, is equipped with a VERY effective carb heat system. So much so that pulling on full carb heat at cruise power will suggest to everyone aboard that an engine failure is imminent. But, the Beaver is equipped with a carb inlet temperature gauge, So the procedure recommended in the operating manual is, once cruise power is set, adjust carb heat on as much as needed to raise the carb temp to + 7 (or was it +4) Celcius, and maintain that inlet temp. Problem solved.
It's worth noting that many Cessna 180s came equipped with a carb air temperature gauge as well.......hint......
One thing worth mentioning is the certification standard for carb heat. The regulation for that requires that the certification specified temperature rise when carb heat is selected full "hot" must be met when the engine is at full throttle-i.e. : making lots of heat. Consider that when you NEED that heat most, the engine may in fact be making very little heat. And consider that the heat is coming from an exhaust manifold, which is constantly being cooled by cold outside air flow.
The point being that IF you do experience carb ice, it be hooves you to get that carb heat control to the hot position ASAP, in order to extract as much residual heat from that muff as possible.
Finally, carb ice often forms during taxi as you wait for the engine to warm on a cool day, or when held by ATC for traffic. I always apply carb heat and a bit of power as I roll out for takeoff to clear it out, then go to full throttle, followed shortly by carb heat to cold on the roll.
MTV