MTV- You have some good points and questions, and I appreciate you continuing to debate me over this, which is exactly what I was hoping for.
I am surprised at your taking issue with my first point though. Try this: flight plan KRDU - KMQI via V189. Check the nav NOTAMs- the RBX VOR is unavialable blo 8000 on that airway, and for much of the previous several years has been NOTAMed completely OTS. Other VORs nearby are pretty perpendicuar to the course leaving for little capability to even triangulate the E-W route which is closely bounded by water and restricted areas to the north and south. Much of that area is swamp and very dark at night. I can guarantee you that LORAN was a great comfort that dark and stormy night, and this is just one example for me personally.
Anyway, I think you're right about the need for LORAN to be certifiable for approaches. I believe that was tried for LORAN-C, but they ran into some trouble. One of the touted benefits of eLORAN is that it COULD be certified for nonprecision approaches. The purported accuracy of eLORAN is 8 - 20m:
http://www.loran.org/.../eLoran%20Definition%20Document%200%201%20Released.pdfAdmittedly the source of this info is a LORAN supporter, but I can't find anything to refute it. Can you? Here is an article by someone who also supports LORAN termination, but I believe he is misinformed on many points, as the commenters to his article state:
http://www.aviationtoday.com/av/issue/columns/perspectives/Perspectives-eLORANs-Shortcomings_8786.html If you remember, civilian GPS devices didn't start to become available until the military had already putthe GPS infrastructure into place. The guys who are selling integrated GPS + LORAN devices now are doing so for the marine market initially. I'm sure they are doing so to avoid the high cost of FAA certification fior airborne units. I'm also sure that noone will proceed with further development until the long term viability of the LORAN system.
Face it, folks: The ONLY currently available VIABLE backup to GPS is the VOR system, including the ILS systems. If the FAA starts shutting those down, we will have no viable backup.
You are exactly right again. If VORs, etc are maintained, there's not too much to worry about. But here is what the federal navigation plan called for up until the recent decision to discontinue eLORAN. The problem is that there has been no change to the plan to discontinue ALL OTHER NAVAIDS except GPS!
eLORAN:
eLoran is the next generation Loran system. Terrestrial-based, eLoran is
an independent, dissimilar complement to the GPS. It will allow properly
equipped users to retain PNT service in the event of GPS disruption. It has
better accuracy, integrity, and continuity than Loran-C, while continuing to
meet Loran-C’s traditional availability requirements. eLoran also can
provide precise time and frequency references needed by the
telecommunications systems and other elements of critical infrastructure.
This improvement is realized through station equipment upgrades, the
addition of a data channel on the signal-in-space, and all-in-view digital
signal processing receivers. eLoran is designed to be backward compatible
with Loran-C, however, users would require a new receiver in order to take
full advantage of eLoran capabilities.
The combination of infrastructure and user equipment improvements will
enable eLoran to meet the requirements for landing aircraft during an
aviation non-precision instrument approach (0.3 nm horizontal), as well as
the requirements for maritime harbor entrance and approach (10 to 20 m).
VOR:
The current VOR services will be maintained at their current level until at
least 2010 to enable aviation users to equip their aircraft with SATNAV
avionics and to become familiar with the system. There is an FAA effort
underway enabling a reduction in the VOR population, to begin in 2010,
that will reduce VOR services by discontinuing facilities no longer needed.
VOR services will be gradually discontinued in accordance with airway
planning standard criteria after appropriate coordination. Service will be
discontinued first at facilities where service is not needed or where
satisfactory alternatives are available. VORs will remain in service
throughout the transition to SATNAV to support IFR operations as needed,
and serve as an independent navigation source in the NAS.
TACAN:
The DoD requirement for land-based TACAN will continue until military
aircraft are properly equipped with GPS; GPS PPS receivers are certified
for all operations in both national and international controlled airspace; and
the GPS support infrastructure including published procedures, charting,
etc., is in place. A phase down of TACAN systems is planned for a future
date, yet to be determined. Sea-based TACAN will continue in use until a
replacement system is successfully deployed. The USN, USCG, and
Military Sealift Command (MSC) operate several hundred sea-based
TACAN stations.
ILS:
As the GPS-based augmentation systems (WAAS and LAAS) are
integrated into the NAS, and user equipage and acceptance grows, the
number of CAT-I ILS may be reduced. FAA does not anticipate phasing
out any CAT-II or III ILS systems until LAAS is able to deliver equivalent
service and GPS vulnerability concerns are addressed. A reduction in the
number of CAT-II/III ILS may then be considered. Until LAAS systems
are available, new and upgrade CAT-II and III precision approach
requirements will continue to be met with ILS.
NDB:
FAA has begun decommissioning stand-alone NDBs as users equip with
GPS. NDBs used as compass locators, or as other required fixes for ILS
approaches (e.g., initial approach fix, missed approach holding), where no
equivalent ground-based means are available, may need to be maintained
until the underlying ILS is phased out.
How much do you think it costs to maintain 1000 VOR stations? I can't imagine it's much (if any) less than finishing and operating 24 eLORAN transmitters. The problem is that our government is acting before they plan.
For what it's worth, I too enjoy compass and stopwatch nav. In fact, until some good friends presented me with a Garmin 296 for my birthday, my 618c was the newest piece of nav gear in my Stinson.
Oh, and "tastes great"...