Backcountry Pilot • El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

A general forum for anything related to flying the backcountry. Please check first if your new topic fits better into a more specific forum before posting.
17 postsPage 1 of 1

El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/december-2023-el-nino-update-adventure

El Niño is zipping along in the tropical Pacific. There’s a 54% chance that this El Niño event will end up “historically strong” (more details below), potentially ranking in the top 5 on record. Looking ahead, it’s likely that El Niño will end and neutral conditions return by April­–June.
Image

The first winter storm to arrive in California made world wide news. Personally, the effects were pretty amazing, dangerous and a bit shocking.

Below is a small granite breakwater which protects a parking lot at Cabrillo Beach. I have been parking there on and off for over 5O years. Never seen any rocks or boulders move until last week! The storm waves were breaking across the parking lot and moving heavy rocks!

The larger sets were penetrating the main harbor break wall then filling into Los Angeles Harbor. The waves then reformed into surges which I could feel tied up in Watch Horn Basin! Hard to image, especially when Los Angles Harbor is generally considered “south facing” and is “protected”.

This type of refraction can happen when enough energy is present and can catch people off guard (don’t ask how I know). Example: Very large winter swells will refract down the south shore of Molokai and break across the bar at Hale Lono Harbor.

Never turn your back on the weather. Stay safe and carry on men…

Image
Image
Image
8GCBC offline
User avatar
Posts: 4623
Joined: Thu Aug 05, 2010 11:55 pm
Location: Honolulu
Aircraft: 2018 R44
CFII, MEI, CFISES, ATPME, IA/AP, RPPL, Ski&Amphib ops, RHC mechanic cert, RHC SC— 3000TT

Re: El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

Significant storm, ice, surf and (dreaded) wind warnings today. Oregon is getting a thrashing, glad I’m driving a 4x4 up HWY(5) not flying a light VFR aircraft! Maybe diverting to HWY(101) , for lower altitude and less wind..



Carry on men…
8GCBC offline
User avatar
Posts: 4623
Joined: Thu Aug 05, 2010 11:55 pm
Location: Honolulu
Aircraft: 2018 R44
CFII, MEI, CFISES, ATPME, IA/AP, RPPL, Ski&Amphib ops, RHC mechanic cert, RHC SC— 3000TT

Re: El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

Ice is going to get thick this week. forcast lows of -37 for the rest of the week up here
David K offline
Supporter
User avatar
Posts: 142
Joined: Tue Apr 10, 2018 3:27 pm
Location: Cypress Hills area
Aircraft: Cessna 172D

Re: El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

David K wrote:Ice is going to get thick this week. forcast lows of -37 for the rest of the week up here


That is unreal cold. May God keep you safe!
8GCBC offline
User avatar
Posts: 4623
Joined: Thu Aug 05, 2010 11:55 pm
Location: Honolulu
Aircraft: 2018 R44
CFII, MEI, CFISES, ATPME, IA/AP, RPPL, Ski&Amphib ops, RHC mechanic cert, RHC SC— 3000TT

Re: El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

8GCBC wrote:
David K wrote:Ice is going to get thick this week. forcast lows of -37 for the rest of the week up here


That is unreal cold. May God keep you safe!


He's Canadian, reporting in Celsius. It's actually not so bad, only -35° F
Zzz offline
Janitorial Staff
User avatar
Posts: 2854
Joined: Fri Oct 08, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: northern
Aircraft: Swiveling desk chair
Half a century spent proving “it is better to be thought a fool than to open your mouth and remove all doubt.”

Re: El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

Zzz wrote:
8GCBC wrote:
David K wrote:Ice is going to get thick this week. forcast lows of -37 for the rest of the week up here


That is unreal cold. May God keep you safe!


He's Canadian, reporting in Celsius. It's actually not so bad, only -35° F


OK good. I was scared for a moment! Ha ha…
8GCBC offline
User avatar
Posts: 4623
Joined: Thu Aug 05, 2010 11:55 pm
Location: Honolulu
Aircraft: 2018 R44
CFII, MEI, CFISES, ATPME, IA/AP, RPPL, Ski&Amphib ops, RHC mechanic cert, RHC SC— 3000TT

Re: El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

That's only -34.6' F not as bat as you think
Glidergeek offline
Supporter
User avatar
Posts: 1937
Joined: Sat Sep 06, 2008 8:02 pm
Location: Hesperia
Aircraft: 1968 P206C
DG 400

Re: El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

-51C at my farm strip this morning. I know because I’m watching my remote temperature monitors - from my back yard in AZ where the locals were near panic about the risk of frost :)
Belloypilot offline
Supporter
User avatar
Posts: 97
Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2015 10:45 pm
Location: Grande Prairie
Aircraft: Husky A-1B, Bonanza V35B, AcroSport II

Re: El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

Belloypilot wrote:-51C at my farm strip this morning. I know because I’m watching my remote temperature monitors - from my back yard in AZ where the locals were near panic about the risk of frost :)


Ouch! What’s the coldest you’ve seen up there?
Zzz offline
Janitorial Staff
User avatar
Posts: 2854
Joined: Fri Oct 08, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: northern
Aircraft: Swiveling desk chair
Half a century spent proving “it is better to be thought a fool than to open your mouth and remove all doubt.”

Re: El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

I’ve seen -56C once about 30 years ago. The area where I live is prone to becoming dead calm when it gets severely cold. Which is good, but it also allows crazy cold air to settle into low spots so you can see significant temperature changes over short distances. My farm yard has the misfortune of being in one of those low spots.

Crazy cold like that isn’t ‘normal’ winter weather there, but we usually get one good shot of it every winter. Lasts less than a week. Living through it right now.
Belloypilot offline
Supporter
User avatar
Posts: 97
Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2015 10:45 pm
Location: Grande Prairie
Aircraft: Husky A-1B, Bonanza V35B, AcroSport II

Re: El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

Belloypilot wrote:I’ve seen -56C once about 30 years ago. The area where I live is prone to becoming dead calm when it gets severely cold. Which is good, but it also allows crazy cold air to settle into low spots so you can see significant temperature changes over short distances. My farm yard has the misfortune of being in one of those low spots.

Crazy cold like that isn’t ‘normal’ winter weather there, but we usually get one good shot of it every winter. Lasts less than a week. Living through it right now.


-45 without the wind chill here the positive side is it might thin out some ticks
David K offline
Supporter
User avatar
Posts: 142
Joined: Tue Apr 10, 2018 3:27 pm
Location: Cypress Hills area
Aircraft: Cessna 172D

Re: El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

Dunno if it's el nino / la nina related or not,
but we've got quite the cold snap going on in western WA right now.
We see lows down into the teens a few times just about every year,
but currently it's about 7 degrees at my house--
probably as cold as I've ever seen it in the 30 years I've lived here.
Not so cold for where a lot of you folks are, but pretty damn cold for here.
hotrod180 offline
Supporter
User avatar
Posts: 10534
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 11:47 pm
Location: Port Townsend, WA
Cessna Skywagon -- accept no substitute!

Re: El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

Screenshot 2024-01-13 at 10.14.38 AM.jpeg
Screenshot 2024-01-13 at 10.14.38 AM.jpeg (106.13 KiB) Viewed 2292 times


That’s the forecast for Edmonton tomorrow. -50C is -58F.

There will likely be scattered spots around Norther Alberta that see -60C if that forecast holds true.
Belloypilot offline
Supporter
User avatar
Posts: 97
Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2015 10:45 pm
Location: Grande Prairie
Aircraft: Husky A-1B, Bonanza V35B, AcroSport II

Re: El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

A missile test site, Kwajalein Atoll, that I used to stay at on my way to Asia a few times experienced unusual waves and damage. I was in Hawaii (2,400NM NE) when it occurred on 21-JAN. The Marshall Islands are incredibly beautiful.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/24/asia/rogue-waves-kwajalein-atoll-pacific-intl-hnk-ml/index.html

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kwajalein_Atoll
The atoll is also used as a base for orbital rocket launches with the Pegasus-XL rocket,[3] and previously had a base for SpaceX for their Falcon 1 rocket.[4]
The main airfield is on the most southern island:
Image

Image

Laser beams intercept a missile launched from California:
Image

(Photo CNN 2023.01.21):
Image

(Photo CNN 2023.01.21):
Image

Very sad, let’s carry on men…
8GCBC offline
User avatar
Posts: 4623
Joined: Thu Aug 05, 2010 11:55 pm
Location: Honolulu
Aircraft: 2018 R44
CFII, MEI, CFISES, ATPME, IA/AP, RPPL, Ski&Amphib ops, RHC mechanic cert, RHC SC— 3000TT

Re: El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

BRD offline
User avatar
Posts: 1451
Joined: Mon Dec 20, 2004 10:15 am

Re: El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

BRD: That “Twitter” video is outrageous! Luckily nobody got killed! I have dined in the base cafeteria a few times (great food flown in fresh from California on an Army transport once a week). $5 all you can eat.

I’m glad they finally got the nerve gas off of Johnston Atoll (it took 15 years (24hr/day) to neutralize the magazines. There was enough to destroy half the globe. Johnston Atoll is only about 10’ above MSL and is not a great place to store WMD. Upon leaving the Atoll a blood test is required to see if any of the agents got into your system.

Check this place out https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Johnston_Atoll

Thank you for the video, definitely a wake up call.

Image
8GCBC offline
User avatar
Posts: 4623
Joined: Thu Aug 05, 2010 11:55 pm
Location: Honolulu
Aircraft: 2018 R44
CFII, MEI, CFISES, ATPME, IA/AP, RPPL, Ski&Amphib ops, RHC mechanic cert, RHC SC— 3000TT

Re: El Niño (The Little Boy) is here again…

California yesterday was bad, I mean real bad. Gusts to 100mph in select locations, major flooding:

Image
Image

Oregon, Washington state missed the low pressure as it was at a lower latitude. Today a high is moving in and we are seeing “Trades” in Honolulu after a month of “Kona winds”…. The “Pineapple express” has left California.

The sun is noticeably higher each noon and the warmth is very noticeable where I’m at, (6) weeks until Spring Time!
8GCBC offline
User avatar
Posts: 4623
Joined: Thu Aug 05, 2010 11:55 pm
Location: Honolulu
Aircraft: 2018 R44
CFII, MEI, CFISES, ATPME, IA/AP, RPPL, Ski&Amphib ops, RHC mechanic cert, RHC SC— 3000TT

DISPLAY OPTIONS

17 postsPage 1 of 1

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests

Latest Features

Latest Knowledge Base