dirtstrip wrote:I am aware that 10% ethanol is not mandated, if it was there would be no regular unleaded or premium.
This is going to happen anyway due to the unintended consequences of EISA 2007.
Thank you for stating that you do not know which emission parts would not perform at midlevel blends. No one else does either.
Except you, obviously.
I credit you with being at least as honest as you are misinformed.
Being honest and being misinformed have nothing in common. You assume I am misinformed as a personal attack. You have know way of knowing whether I am misinformed or not.
Here are the results from different agencies arriving at the same conclusion which answers your question about whether limits of the non flex emission systems are exceeded.
Research for the Department of Energy concluded that when E15 was compared to
traditional gasoline, there were no significant changes in vehicle tailpipe emissions or
vehicle drivability as ethanol content increased (Oak Ridge National Laboratory, U.S.
Department of Energy).
I can't tell which DOE report you are referring to, you give no link, but if it is the October 2008 "Effects of Intermediate Ethanol Blends on Legacy Vehicles and Small Non Road Engines, Report 1, Updated February 2009", there is some dispute about that report. See Engine Manufacturers Association comments:
http://www.regulations.gov/fdmspublic/C ... ntType=pdf page 6.
A report prepared by the Energy & Environmental Research Center and Minnesota
Center for Automotive Research studied the effects of E10 to E85 on vehicles and found
that exhaust emissions levels for all vehicles at all levels of ethanol blend were within
Clean Air Act standards (Minnesota Center for Automotive Research).
The Rochester Institute of Technology evaluated effects of E20 on 10 legacy vehicles and
results after 75,000 collective miles driven found no fuel‐related failures or significant
vehicle problems and documented reductions in regulated tailpipe emissions when
using E20 (Rochester Institute of Technology).
• Recent studies also support that E15 results in no difference in drivability compared to gasoline.
A recent Minnesota Drivability Study presents data to support that E15 will cause no drivability
issues and will not lead to “removal or rendering inoperative of [emissions] devices or systems”
based on negative impacts on performance (State of Minnesota).
It is interesting that you quote two Minnesota studies but even Minnesota, in its rush to implement a mandatory E20 law must defer to EPA and the auto manufacturers to implement their law. Since Minnesota has a vested interest in implementing its mandatory E20 law I find the studies suspect, they have a vested interest in the outcome. The Minnesota Center for Automotive Research study has not been peer-reviewed and no actual emissions data are publicly available. But the authors noted that some emissions were higher when running on E30 and that some vehicles on the road cannot adjust to intermediate ethanol blend fuels. The Rochester Institute of Technology study is ongoing and and the emissions data are not publicly available, however the report indicates that half of the tested vehicles experienced increased NOx emissions.
• E15 won’t harm your engine, and, in fact, it may even be beneficial to your vehicle. A recent
study by the University of North Dakota found that the three non‐flex fuel vehicles tested
obtained greater fuel economy at higher blends of ethanol than unleaded gasoline (University of
North Dakota).
Wow! A statistically insignificant three car test. I am sure that the ethanol lobby used this as its primary argument for the E15 waiver and surely the EPA will now grant them the waiver, in fact I am sure that they should just abolish all ethanol blending restrictions.
• E15 can be used in existing fuel infrastructure without risk of damage or safety concerns.
Underwriters Laboratories (UL) recently announced that its research supports the use of fuel
blends containing 15 percent ethanol at America's gas station pumps.
Sort of, with a huge proviso: (
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/10/autom ... 0PUMP.html)
"John Drengenberg, U.L.’s consumer safety director, said previous testing showed that the existing pumps were safe for up to 15 percent ethanol. But U.L. will not guarantee them for 1 percent more, he said.
That means E15 certification cannot be given because there can be slight variations in the mixture of gas and ethanol, Mr. Drengenberg said — E15 might actually include 16 percent ethanol. “It cannot ever be said that this is exactly 15 percent.”
Furthermore, while U.L. says 15 percent ethanol would be acceptable, it cannot retroactively and officially certify the existing pumps for dispensing E15, a spokesman, Joseph Hirschmugl, said."
It is a great time to be a lawyer.
So where are the auto companies test results to back up their claims? ...
As I understand it the EPA and the auto companies were in the midst of the testing for higher ethanol blends when the ethanol industry asked for the E15 waiver because of the blending wall.
According to one waiver comment: (
http://www.regulations.gov/fdmspublic/C ... ntType=pdf page 4.)
"A comparison of the Petitioners' support materials with the guidance previously provided by EPA staff of expected data requirements under a waiver request6 ("Chicago Presentation") illustrates the insufficiency of the Petition. The Chicago Presentation was made less than one year ago and provides a literal checklist of required components and is included as an endnote.
Specific shortcomings in Petitioner's Waiver Request include the following :
i . Base engine durability testing has not been completed. The CRC (CM-i36-o9) projects the cost at up to $6 million and at present does not expect the work to be completed until approximately 2011.
2. Evaporative emissions testing are incomplete; however it is underway by CRC with expected time frame between this year and 2011. This is an involved process comprised of many components and simply has not been completed to our knowledge by any entity to date.
3 . Catalyst durability testing remains incomplete and Petitioner's have failed to provide sufficient data.
4. On-board diagnostics testing is incomplete and CRC is projecting to address in their 201o budget.
5. Emissions inventory and air modeling work is incomplete with substantial work pending.
6. Automotive fuel storage and cold handling studies are pending.
7. Cold ambient operations studies have not been addressed. CRC projects funding
these studies in the 2010 to 2011 budgets."
As for personal or individual bias against ethanol or mandates in general, you are entitled.
I have no personal bias against ethanol, those who want it in their fuel can use it, I would choose not to for any number of reasons, less energy, water absorption, corrosiveness to start with. As for the ethanol mandates, both state and federal, I have a strong personal distaste of using my tax money to mandate an additive in my gasoline that damages property and is a hazard to public safety and, in the case of Oregon, gives me no choice and on the national level will soon give no one a choice.