******Attention Straight-Tail Cessna182 Fly-In Participants******
This has been a difficult process, trying to out-guess the weather for the Sawtooth Valley and the Smiley-Creek area over the last 10 days. It turned out to be an excellent decision to postpone the Fly-In this past weekend. Who would have thought people would be driving up to Bogus Basin out of Boise on June 7th to make snowmen! The runway at Smiley Creek had snow a couple times over the last 5 days but it quickly melted as the ground is no longer frozen. So what's up for this coming weekend? I'm gonna throw this info out there folks and let you guys give me your input but I just got off the phone with our local news meteorologist/pilot and I'm leaning toward postponing the Fly-In until the weekend of June 26-28.
The forecasts are pretty consistent that Thurs/Fri this week will be nice in the Smiley Creek area with temps reaching 80 deg. However, beginning Friday evening showers may begin with a chance of T-storms Friday night and into Saturday. Sunday, more of the same. With these showers will come wind. I've attached a typical forecast as of today, Tuesday AM. This particular one from NOAA. From Monday on next week the forecast looks good with temperatures rising again after a cooling over the weekend. From the attached report you can see that the weather looks good on either side of the weekend. How bad will the weekend be? It looks like we will be able to get into Smiley Creek easily on Thurs/Fri but maybe have limited flying and exploring opportunities over Sat and Sun. Some rain is a given. There's no way that we want to cancel this event but as I said above, we do have another opportunity to move it to June 26-28, betting on the likelihood of much better weather. The State airport director has graciously given us that spot. The weatherman said the jet stream should have moved more north by then and high pressure and more stable air will be moving up from the south.
I'd like to hear feedback from everyone who is planning to attend as to whether we want to postpone again or give this weekend our best shot. I know many people have other plans as we get fully into summer but then again, maybe a 3-day getaway will still be possible. It's not just my call. I've tried to stay on top of this and get as much input as possible. This is an event that everyone should feel comfortable about attending, especially those traveling a long distance. I was anticipating maybe 30 aircraft based on the feedback I've been getting and the more the merrier. But if we only have 10 aircraft show up a lot of people will miss out on a great flying/camping experience. No one wants to get soaked in their backpack tent!
Having said that, the campground at Smiley is in wonderful condition and the setting is extraordinary. It deserves a good weather weekend to enjoy the majesty of the area.
Please Email me with your thoughts at
[email protected]