Wed Mar 06, 2013 12:52 pm
Couple thoughts--but mostly idle speculation at this point.
First, the news article said he was in a deep canyon on the southeast side of Pennock Mountain. If that is true, it could be that he got over the hump and then got caught in a downdraft rotor that put him down and/or ran into a wall of weather and couldn't get back over the rocks behind him. The wind usually howls from the west in that area, which would support the downdraft theory on the eastern slope (reminiscent of the guy who went down in the Mooney last winter in the Winds with his kids). It also makes me wonder how much control he had over where he set down (i.e., was he able to pick a flat spot to land, or was he forced to take what was right in front of him and he was lucky to come away from the crash as good as he did).
Second, a good friend of his, posting on another board, has stated that the pilot had flown this trip before, and that he was well equipped with emergency supplies. He also said the normal trip route didn't usually take him past this location, which makes one wonder whether he had to divert due to wind or weather (or, possibly, medical).
Third, the news stories said he was found outside the plane under the wing, which makes it hard to know whether his emergency supplies were simply inadequate for the tough conditions, whether he left the plane and got too cold and simply couldn't recover once he got back to the plane, whether the news story is wrong about where he was found, and/or whether he sustained other injuries in the crash (or had a preexisting condition) that contributed to his passing.
Fourth, I agree with the prior comments that this can be a gnarly wind tunnel with some very rugged terrain underneath. I would be very reluctant to fly between Elk Mountain and Pennock with anything over 20 for winds. This is especially true when you can fly about 40 miles up to the interstate and get around the worst of the terrain by staying north of Elk Mountain. Still not a fun place in tough conditions, but at least you have some more air beneath you.
Fifth, I agree with Rob. If he was well enough to get out of the plane (and not impaired by a head injury or some other physical problem), he presumably could have pressed the button on a SPOT or PLB. I know search and rescue spent the night looking for him on Sunday, and it may have made all the difference if they had a specific fix on his location.
No disrespect whatsoever intended to the pilot--he sounded like a great guy, and I am very sorry for the loss to his family and friends. Just trying to learn what I can from these tragedies to try and keep them from happening again if possible.