I was talking to Tangogawd who has a 135 Certificate and mail contract in Alaska on the phone recently. We both believe in some plan, even if only a few seconds, before entering IMC.
This made me think back to the FAA examiner who gave me my 135 check ride for a Single pilot, day VFR certificate while his secretary typed my hand printed application. I know! It's not done that way anymore. I asked him why I was taking an instrument check ride for a VFR certificate. He explained the pop up clearance and when asked if it would not be safer to plan and file IFR before leaving, he explained that was what you should do, jut not file until popped up. I have always been amazed at how the government, after regulating against the safer solution, can expect us to PIC the safer solution.
Scud running is sanctioned against rather than taught for in the system. We who have done it know that it is much safer at 200 feet than at 1,000 feet. At 1,000 the background goes away and you would be safer to just admit you are IMC and get on the gauges. The problem is that the transition is fuzzier up there. And it is the transition that will most likely kill you.
At 200' a tree line a mile away looks like a tree line a mile away.. At 1,000 feet, a tree line a mile away is not as apparent.
If a stationary front moves at 0 and a cold front at 40 and a warm front somewhere in between, our rate of closure, in a 130 mph airplane, is going to be 130 to 170 going toward or 90 to 130 overtaking fronts. We don't really know how bad until we get near, but the closure rate should cause us to plan a bit. Instrument ratings and equipment can be very helpful, but should not cause us to delay our decision to either turn around, pop up, or land. All are safer when planned for. And we should plan for the tactical situation being fluid.

