Been flying, but not taking a lot of photos. Busy. Excuses, excuses.
But last week I had a real flight mission. Our two kids are on a swim team, and they had a swim meet in Anchorage. I had flown to Anchorage and back Tuesday to pick up a couple friends. Actually, I hadn't been to Anchorage. When I took off, the forecast was for beautiful weather, and I headed in on a dawn patrol flight, with an amazing view of the Naknek River immediately after takeoff.

Followed by an amazing view of the Kvichak River.

Then Lake Iliamna. And it obviously wasn't going to be a fast ride with that kind of wind on the nose...

Sunrise on the Pebble deposit was pretty nice.


It was a tad bumpy in Lake Clark Pass, but not bad, though the 35 kt headwind made the pass a little slow going. Emerging from the pass over the west side of Cook Inlet, it was beautiful still, but I called in to Kenai Radio to give a position update and to request information about Merrill Field weather. Mostly just as a formality, since it was so beautiful, but it's an old habit to get information when I can.
The answer surprised me. The conditions were still fine, but the forecast was now calling for fog and less than one mile visibility. Now there were two things about that I found disconcerting. One is that I had recently put on a new cylinder to replace one that had a crack in the exhaust housing area, and was still running at pretty high power settings. Settings I hadn't fully dialed in mentally as to the fuel burn. So while I knew I had enough fuel to make it safely, I really didn't relish getting to Anchorage and having any question about fuel on my mind as I was looking around at fog and trying to figure out how far I was going to need to divert. No thanks.
I diverted to Kenai, landed, and fueled. Now, with lots of fuel on board, I called flight service again and asked about the Merrill weather. Because the second problem was that I was wanting to take back off, so if I just squeaked in and the fogged settled over me, that wouldn't be particularly helpful. The briefer said they were still showing clear skies and good visibility, but that the forecast continued to say they were calling for fog. I asked him whether he felt the conditions were likely to hold, and asked also for the current conditions at other local airports, and then took off. He had suggested that it looked like Merrill conditions would hold, so I was headed there, but by the time I was in the air 20 minutes I could pick up the Merrill ATIS and...1/4 mile in freezing fog. Oops. Now what. A few minutes later I got into range to receive text messages and asked my friends if they could meet me at Birchwood, and I flew on there instead. It was totally lovely, they came and off we went to head back through the pass. It was smoother on the way home and we had a lovely flight. So that was Tuesday.
Thursday was supposed to be warmer, which usually means crummy weather in the winter, but the forecasts had been for VFR conditions. But the warm mess arrived Wednesday and apparently Anchorage was a bit of a mess. Thursday ended up looking about the same, though the conditions out our way were spectacular. But the Anchorage bowl was covered with freezing rain, and while I might have been able to find another place to go down by Soldotna, Friday was forecast to be okay so we just opted to wait and launch the following day.
But Friday didn't end up looking so grand after all. Still lovely out our way. Still fine in the pass. But Anchorage had this low crud, sporadic freezing rain, and wasn't very appetizing. But there was a higher layer around 4,000 feet that went from Palmer down to Kenai, and the conditions over in Kenai and Soldotna seemed okay. So we finally launched, mentally prepared to turn around, but thinking the most likely destination was Soldotna, then rent a car and drive to Anchorage. A bit of a trek, but I have no interest in freezing rain.
The flight was fine all the way to the east entrance of Lake Clark Pass. Knowing that we would be having decisions to make, I had stopped and fueled up in Port Alsworth, so we had enough fuel to fly all the way to Anchorage and turn around and go back to Port Alsworth. Fuel equates to options in this case. On the way through the pass we climbed up until we arrived at the east entrance at 3,500 feet. And there, snaking up the narrows below, was a cloud that looked to have a ceiling of around 1,000 feet beneath it. Above us was another layer that was all the way up near the tops of the peaks around the mouth of the pass. And peering out toward Soldotna...I could see something...something bright...sort of...
But I really didn't like what I was seeing. Bright, yes, but a steady cloud layer below, not the scattered or even broken layer that most of the inlet had been advertised as having down low. And a steady cloud layer above. And in between, diffuse, gray, muted light that looked very indistinct and disconcerting. Hmmm.
"Okay guys, I don't like what I'm seeing here. I don't know quite yet, but right now, I would say the most likely result is we are going to turn around and go home, but we'll see if there is a safe way to get to somewhere on the road system first. So the first thing I'm going to do is climb up and see if we get any better view from a little higher."
So we flew a couple zigzags across the narrows, climbing up, then a 360, until we were at 4,300 feet and starting to feel like we were close enough to the upper cloud layer. Still nothing I could see that convinced me it was wise to head across there, though.
"I'm sorry, but I really don't like the way that looks. We're going to look one more time. This time we're going to drop down underneath this cloud layer and see whether it looks like we can see well enough to fly beneath it."
We started into a flying-brick descent, flying back up the narrows, making a turn, and dropping back down underneath the layer. The visibility was not terrible. But it certainly wasn't good. In summer, I would have been perfectly happy with the 3 mile visibility where the pass ended. But I don't feel that way about winter flying. The OAT gauge claimed it was 33 degrees out, but I was looking at the condensation forming on the windshield, and didn't see it moving...
"It looks like that water isn't moving...going to have to turn around."
But right after I said that, as I banked into a turn, one of the drops got big enough to move and started running up and off to the side.
"Okay, it looks like it is not frozen, just too small to move much..."
We flew down Big River looking at the windshield, watching drops form into bigger drops then move off occasionally, and emerged near the Cook Inlet coast.
"Okay, I need you guys to sit tight and be quiet, I'm going to be on the radio."
I started a slow lazy 360 and called up Kenai Radio on the Nikishka repeater frequency.
"Kenai Radio, Tri-Pacer 9976 delta."
"9976 delta, Kenai Radio, go ahead."
"We just came out of Lake Clark Pass on our VFR flight plan, and we are over Big River along the coast at 1,000 feet. Flight visibility is around 8 miles at the moment. We would like to get current conditions for the west side of Cook Inlet, the Anchorage bowl, and the Kenai/Soldotna area."
"Roger, 76 delta, here we go. Anchorage is currently showing a scattered layer at 500 feet and overcast at 4,000, visibility 10 miles, light wind. On the west side of the inlet, the Beluga cams are showing visibility underneath a ceiling, though I can't tell the height. The Nikiski cam is solidly socked in fog, so the Kenai side does not look like a better option for you. Kenai has low clouds at 500, but Soldotna is 2700 overcast."
I had to think over that a minute. Then I asked, "any forecasts for freezing rain, or pilot reports?"
"Negative on freezing rain at the moment, and no pilot reports. Based on the conditions, it looks like the west side is the better side. Appreciate any updates on conditions as you fly."
"Roger that. Based on that, we'll be flying up the west side and evaluating the conditions as we go."
I briefed the passengers..."Okay everybody, here's the deal. The better weather over in Soldotna is not accessible to us because we are stuck under this cloud layer and I won't cross the water without having more altitude that we have available to us under this cloud deck. But from the sounds of it, we might actually be able to fly up this side, so we are going to head up the inlet and see what the conditions are like. It is possible that we could end up needing to land at one of these middle-of-nowhere airfields and be pretty much stuck camping. But we'll see what it looks like. Okay?"
Whether they were shell-shocked or I just can't remember their response...either way it seemed pretty muted or resigned or both. So we headed toward Trading Bay and parts northward. Immediately after passing the Trading Bay airport, we could see all the way up past Nicolai Creek toward Tyonek, so I called in a pilot report to Kenai Radio since I was surprised at how good the conditions were. But around Tyonek it got a little skunky again. And then as we neared Beluga I was starting to think about landing. Visibility got down to 3 miles, then it was starting to be 3 miles to the side and 2 miles in front, then maybe not even that...
"West Side traffic, Cessna 123 passing Tyonek. If that Tri-Pacer pilot is still on this frequency, could you give me an update on the conditions up north? Does it get better up by Beluga?"
"Negative, right now we are passing Beluga, and Tyonek is better than Beluga at present."
"Roger, I think we're going to turn and head back toward Kenai."
I turned and flew inland a little to see if it got any better, but that wasn't looking good, so we turned and were headed toward the mouth of the Big Su when the Cessna pilot called again, "Hey, just thought you might want to know, we are five miles offshore and the visibility is really good out here. You might want to come out here, we can see all the way to the Big Su."
"Roger, thanks."
Everybody has to have their own way of analyzing risks. Mine doesn't allow me to go beyond glide distance from shore. And five miles out, that was going to put me up well over 3,000 feet. And right now I was having trouble maintaining 500 feet without bumping into clouds. But we were headed roughly toward the water at an angle anyway, so I turned and headed straight for the shoreline. The weather wasn't any better, but we turned along shoreline, flew a couple miles, and it opened up nicely before us. The cloud layer was now, for the first time, obviously scattered above us as we crossed Figure 8 Lake and headed for the powerline transition to Merrill Field. When I called in, the tower controller approved a part 93 deviation, so I thought about climbing up, but the layer just didn't look quite scattered enough for my comfort doing that, and I really just wanted to get there, so we flew on at 500 feet along the powerlines. As we neared the inlet, the scattered layer disappeared, so I started a climb, but midway over the inlet it was obvious that the 500 foot layer over the airport was not scattered over the city like they were reporting over Merrill proper.
"Merrill Tower, 76 delta, this scattered layer is looking pretty dense out here, request permission to enter the pattern by flying up Ship Creek at 500 feet."
"76 delta, Merrill Tower, you still intending left traffic for 34?"
"Affirmative, 76 delta would like to fly Ship Creek to enter left downwind for 34."
"76 delta, approved as requested."
Landing on 34, we rolled to a halt, and that's probably a good thing, too. Because if we had needed to brake...we couldn't have. Wow was it slick. The tower called and requested a pilot report, so we told them the conditions from Beluga to the Big Su were the worst of the journey. But most important of all, the entire way up the inlet the OAT gauge showed 34 degrees F. Looking around after we fueled and parked, the conditions did not look great. I was pretty amazed that we had flown in. I wouldn't likely have launched if I had known it would be that way. I was expecting to get to Soldotna fairly comfortably, and instead we had done a winter low level scud run, which would not have worked if it had been two degrees colder. Wow. Luckily, the forecast for Saturday and Sunday were really good, so we were planning to leave Sunday after the meet and launch home. What could be more simple?
But in the meantime, the kids churned up the Bartlett High pool for a couple days.
